CryptoPunk #4794 valuation (beta)
Male, Fedora, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.2 ETH (about $89,042). 1σ range 34.6 to 44.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 50.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.6 to 44.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 50.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-06-11: 33.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #450 2025-02-14: 42.5 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1880 2024-11-30: 43.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-14: 12.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-07: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-11: 25.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-13: 18.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-13: 19.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-11: 83.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-03-14: 56.8 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-09-22: 38.9 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-17: 46.7 ETH (sale)
- 2026-04-04: 38.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.