CryptoPunk #4816 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Cap Forward, Pipe.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $83,749). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Goat -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8340 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8864 2026-03-29: 31.5 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8864 2026-02-24: 30.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8864 2025-08-23: 56.5 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1288 2025-06-06: 59.0 ETH (39.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4155 2025-05-30: 55.5 ETH (36.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4155 2025-05-13: 52.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8340 2025-02-12: 37.5 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-30: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 24.2 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-01: 59.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-21: 67.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-02: 86.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-06-19: 82.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-26: 34.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.