CryptoPunk #4841 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Do-rag.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.8 ETH (about $65,517). 1σ range 26.1 to 31.8 ETH, 2σ range 23.6 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.1 to 31.8 ETH, 2σ range 23.6 to 35.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mole -7%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6755 2026-02-23: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2557 2025-07-23: 49.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2557 2025-07-20: 41.0 ETH (26.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9723 2025-06-06: 83.0 ETH (54.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-10-09: 33.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-10-08: 31.7 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #926 2026-10-06: 34.5 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-12-23: 53.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-15: 53.9 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-31: 64.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-02-13: 63.7 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-17: 69.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-05-19: 49.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-15: 37.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-14: 39.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-19: 36.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-31: 38.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.