CryptoPunk #4920 valuation (beta)
Male, Rosy Cheeks, Goat, Crazy Hair, Vape.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $78,580). 1σ range 31.4 to 38.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 41.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 60.0 ETH, 5.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 38.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 41.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Goat -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1923 2026-06-25: 34.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1923 2026-06-25: 30.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5938 2025-12-10: 29.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9695 2025-05-27: 54.0 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8879 2026-10-24: 45.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-04-20: 0.40 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2019-07-29: 0.35 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-04: 0.75 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-18: 5.50 ETH (sale)
- 2026-06-05: 34.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.