CryptoPunk #4951 valuation (beta)
Male, Mohawk Thin, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.2 ETH (about $66,347). 1σ range 26.5 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 24.1 to 35.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.5 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 24.1 to 35.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9024 2026-03-28: 30.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3713 2025-04-09: 55.0 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3713 2025-02-11: 42.0 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4409 2024-11-12: 31.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-10-30: 29.8 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8879 2026-10-24: 45.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-28: 5.75 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-05: 17.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-12: 79.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-28: 67.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-19: 74.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.