CryptoPunk #4978 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Cap Forward, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.1 ETH (about $73,005). 1σ range 29.6 to 34.8 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 37.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.6 to 34.8 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 37.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5661 2025-09-09: 50.2 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3612 2025-07-28: 60.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3296 2025-03-17: 78.0 ETH (61.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3296 2025-03-10: 50.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #206 2024-12-03: 48.9 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #206 2024-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-02: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2019-12-08: 0.44 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-23: 18.3 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-17: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-19: 52.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-08: 54.9 ETH (sale)
- 2024-07-27: 26.4 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.