CryptoPunk #4994 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Goat, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.8 ETH (about $67,728). 1σ range 27.2 to 32.6 ETH, 2σ range 24.9 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.2 to 32.6 ETH, 2σ range 24.9 to 35.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mole -7%, Goat -7%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9984 2026-09-21: 31.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-17: 29.6 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-05: 28.5 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-12: 34.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8340 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-03: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9984 2026-04-27: 30.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-04-22: 28.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-06-03: 1.30 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-09-23: 2.10 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-26: 3.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-16: 8.30 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-09: 18.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-14: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-13: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-10: 19.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-21: 38.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.