CryptoPunk #5101 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Front Beard Dark, Earring, Mohawk Thin, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 27.4 ETH (about $62,247). 1σ range 24.2 to 30.9 ETH, 2σ range 21.4 to 35.0 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 140 ETH, 13.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 27.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 24.2 to 30.9 ETH, 2σ range 21.4 to 35.0 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Earring -2%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2947 2026-01-02: 27.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2025-04-21: 42.1 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2025-04-16: 42.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-15: 4.89 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-27: 8.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-08: 44.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-29: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 171 ETH (sale)
- 2023-02-21: 74.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.