CryptoPunk #5156 valuation (beta)
Male, Knitted Cap, Pipe, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $92,447). 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (160 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4473 2026-05-12: 42.0 ETH (43.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4473 2025-08-14: 59.8 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4473 2025-08-12: 62.5 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7674 2025-07-25: 200 ETH (117 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2745 2025-07-15: 50.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3865 2025-03-18: 42.7 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3865 2025-01-25: 45.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-09-27: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-19: 23.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.