CryptoPunk #5276 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Normal Beard, Frumpy Hair, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.3 ETH (about $104,961). 1σ range 36.5 to 51.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 60.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 150 ETH, 7.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.5 to 51.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 60.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Frumpy Hair -7%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7711 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-09-28: 33.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-09-25: 31.4 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5098 2026-09-22: 33.3 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.1 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-18: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-24: 2.00 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.