CryptoPunk #561 valuation (beta)
Male, Top Hat, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 82.5 ETH (about $187,632). 1σ range 51.3 to 133 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 213 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 888 ETH, 5.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 82.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 51.3 to 133 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 213 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Top Hat +30%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4746 2026-09-22: 88.9 ETH (82.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1326 2026-08-21: 51.0 ETH (47.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6648 2026-08-03: 42.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4822 2026-07-16: 67.5 ETH (62.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7519 2026-07-03: 58.9 ETH (54.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7173 2026-06-29: 88.9 ETH (84.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4441 2026-06-26: 278 ETH (261 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-15: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 375 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-08: 500 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.