CryptoPunk #5730 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Police Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.8 ETH (about $89,185). 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 89.1 ETH, 8.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4685 2026-02-25: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4685 2025-08-23: 55.3 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #325 2025-03-18: 39.5 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #325 2025-03-11: 38.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5579 2026-10-30: 38.0 ETH (40.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8879 2026-10-24: 45.0 ETH (44.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7779 2026-10-20: 145 ETH (141 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-31: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 37.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 37.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 39.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-11: 57.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 69.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-25: 81.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 96.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-08-19: 56.7 ETH (sale)
- 2026-02-15: 33.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.