CryptoPunk #5774 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Front Beard Dark, Cap, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.5 ETH (about $98,066). 1σ range 35.1 to 46.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 53.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.1 to 46.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 53.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%, Front Beard Dark -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9774 2026-07-27: 95.0 ETH (89.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4371 2026-05-20: 34.8 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2718 2026-02-01: 27.2 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3454 2025-10-06: 52.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2408 2025-09-29: 49.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1863 2025-09-14: 45.7 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7190 2025-08-11: 56.3 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7190 2025-08-10: 55.3 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-04-06: 59.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-04-13: 62.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-02-17: 44.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.