CryptoPunk #5865 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Peak Spike, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.5 ETH (about $73,987). 1σ range 30.0 to 35.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 38.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.0 to 35.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 38.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Goat -7%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8332 2026-08-21: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8332 2026-06-11: 31.2 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8783 2025-10-31: 39.9 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7806 2025-07-01: 39.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8488 2025-06-02: 48.8 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8488 2025-06-01: 46.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1235 2025-05-19: 47.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-24: 52.0 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-10: 14.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-17: 14.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-18: 15.2 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.