CryptoPunk #6140 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Spots, Wild Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.9 ETH (about $77,055). 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 55.3 ETH, 5.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8186 2025-09-02: 54.5 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1794 2025-08-21: 52.5 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1794 2025-08-13: 51.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7042 2024-12-03: 46.3 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7042 2024-12-01: 45.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5877 2024-11-14: 39.7 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-25: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2017-07-01: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2017-07-14: 0.40 ETH (sale)
- 2019-03-14: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-19: 0.99 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-26: 1.90 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-16: 23.6 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-29: 46.1 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-09-29: 46.1 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.