CryptoPunk #6196 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Knitted Cap, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.2 ETH (about $79,991). 1σ range 32.1 to 38.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.1 to 38.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2473 2026-10-31: 38.0 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9891 2025-10-10: 50.5 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9891 2025-08-10: 56.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8965 2025-03-05: 50.0 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4034 2024-11-14: 46.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6406 2026-11-01: 37.0 ETH (36.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-03: 0.25 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-05: 7.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-16: 27.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-13: 17.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-27: 18.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-02: 18.3 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-24: 76.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-18: 80.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.