CryptoPunk #626 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Cowboy Hat.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 68.7 ETH (about $156,219). 1σ range 46.8 to 101 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 148 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 68.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 46.8 to 101 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 148 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Earring -2%, Cowboy Hat +96%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4336 2026-05-28: 78.0 ETH (73.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1507 2025-05-12: 80.0 ETH (52.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1782 2025-04-10: 63.3 ETH (44.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7585 2025-02-04: 85.0 ETH (63.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1782 2025-01-16: 75.0 ETH (59.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #735 2024-12-11: 68.0 ETH (51.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1507 2024-12-02: 64.0 ETH (43.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1782 2024-11-13: 47.0 ETH (42.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.