CryptoPunk #6263 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Straight Hair, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.8 ETH (about $70,040). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 30.4 ETH, 0.3σ below the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6573 2026-09-21: 32.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1583 2026-07-25: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6573 2026-07-02: 31.4 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6573 2026-05-17: 33.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8497 2026-05-16: 32.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6223 2026-05-04: 31.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5055 2026-02-26: 29.6 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6547 2026-02-20: 32.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-06: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-15: 67.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-21: 66.8 ETH (sale)
- 2023-05-24: 49.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-10: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (sale)
- 2026-10-08: 31.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.