CryptoPunk #6316 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Messy Hair, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 67.2 ETH (about $152,751). 1σ range 46.2 to 97.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 142 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 67.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 46.2 to 97.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 142 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4746 2026-09-22: 88.9 ETH (82.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2648 2026-05-25: 35.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2956 2026-02-04: 29.4 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2956 2026-02-03: 28.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8619 2025-05-26: 64.0 ETH (41.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8619 2025-04-17: 62.4 ETH (44.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8619 2025-03-04: 49.0 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7685 2025-03-03: 58.0 ETH (48.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-28: 0.18 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.