CryptoPunk #6354 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Earring, Shaved Head.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.8 ETH (about $76,735). 1σ range 31.1 to 36.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.1 to 36.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8812 2025-07-20: 47.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8812 2024-12-31: 43.9 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8812 2024-11-13: 32.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9335 2026-08-19: 33.5 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9335 2026-04-23: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4855 2026-04-21: 39.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9110 2026-04-10: 30.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6188 2026-04-08: 28.9 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-17: 0.59 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-27: 1.30 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 1.64 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-12: 20.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-23: 19.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-07: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-17: 67.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-14: 68.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.