CryptoPunk #6406 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Shaved Head.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.3 ETH (about $82,541). 1σ range 32.9 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.9 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6694 2026-05-22: 35.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2534 2025-12-24: 28.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4577 2025-08-14: 56.0 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2534 2025-07-29: 55.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2534 2025-07-29: 54.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9274 2025-07-16: 46.7 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9274 2025-07-14: 45.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9274 2025-07-14: 42.5 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-21: 65.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-09: 94.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-02: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-10: 67.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-06-24: 56.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-22: 70.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-28: 40.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-07-20: 51.5 ETH (sale)
- 2026-02-21: 39.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-11-01: 37.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.