CryptoPunk #643 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Mustache, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.3 ETH (about $91,712). 1σ range 35.2 to 46.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 52.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 100 ETH, 6.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.2 to 46.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 52.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2529 2026-10-02: 36.5 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-09-27: 32.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-09-22: 35.8 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-07-13: 31.0 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2644 2025-12-17: 29.5 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8594 2025-11-28: 36.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-05: 42.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-07: 54.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-22: 53.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 99.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.