CryptoPunk #6449 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Shaved Head.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.7 ETH (about $76,532). 1σ range 31.0 to 36.5 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.0 to 36.5 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6188 2026-04-08: 28.9 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6188 2026-04-02: 28.3 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1863 2025-09-14: 45.7 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6406 2026-11-01: 37.0 ETH (36.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-27: 95.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 119 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.