CryptoPunk #6459 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Top Hat, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 54.1 ETH (about $122,976). 1σ range 41.3 to 70.8 ETH, 2σ range 31.6 to 92.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 421 ETH, 7.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 54.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 41.3 to 70.8 ETH, 2σ range 31.6 to 92.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Top Hat +30%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9762 2026-02-23: 46.3 ETH (46.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9762 2025-07-26: 59.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7820 2025-07-25: 58.5 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2892 2025-05-02: 125 ETH (85.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #638 2025-03-09: 76.0 ETH (59.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8159 2026-10-09: 35.9 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-19: 13.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-17: 150 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-04-26: 225 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.