CryptoPunk #6485 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Vampire Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.9 ETH (about $74,897). 1σ range 30.4 to 35.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 38.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 38.0 ETH, 1.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.4 to 35.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 38.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9541 2026-09-21: 34.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9541 2026-06-11: 36.9 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9541 2026-02-05: 29.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9541 2026-02-03: 28.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9541 2025-08-08: 55.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2688 2025-07-26: 56.9 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5699 2025-03-04: 59.0 ETH (49.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-06-08: 0.05 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-22: 4.25 ETH (sale)
- 2020-11-21: 3.50 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-03-29: 45.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-12-22: 29.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.