CryptoPunk #6557 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Clown Hair Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $81,807). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3103 2026-02-06: 28.9 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3103 2026-02-03: 25.9 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8661 2024-11-13: 30.9 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8661 2024-11-08: 26.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4810 2026-10-03: 42.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-15: 4.99 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 105 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 125 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-29: 130 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-01: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-21: 72.9 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-23: 49.6 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-11: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-28: 39.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-11-25: 38.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.