CryptoPunk #6626 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Tassle Hat, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.0 ETH (about $68,147). 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 57.9 ETH, 12.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6370 2026-10-31: 36.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2486 2026-10-26: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7587 2026-09-17: 29.4 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2682 2026-07-02: 37.0 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2682 2026-06-29: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #628 2026-06-16: 31.8 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2659 2026-06-05: 30.8 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2659 2026-05-15: 29.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-06-21: 0.40 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-05-02: 1.39 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-30: 2.75 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-09-25: 7.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-07: 48.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-10: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-21: 87.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-30: 69.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-30: 63.3 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-29: 41.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.