CryptoPunk #6802 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Fedora, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.4 ETH (about $66,869). 1σ range 26.8 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 24.4 to 35.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 190 ETH, 20.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.8 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 24.4 to 35.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Goat -7%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #267 2025-09-17: 47.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #267 2025-08-11: 56.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #267 2025-07-31: 53.8 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8675 2025-06-29: 47.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3698 2025-03-14: 86.5 ETH (67.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #267 2025-01-28: 42.1 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8675 2025-01-27: 41.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3698 2025-01-07: 82.0 ETH (66.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-22: 25.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-14: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-24: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-03: 73.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.