CryptoPunk #6809 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Peak Spike, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.9 ETH (about $81,671). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 350 ETH, 23.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1831 2026-01-08: 60.0 ETH (62.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1831 2025-07-04: 45.0 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7806 2025-07-01: 39.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7163 2025-04-13: 62.5 ETH (44.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7163 2025-03-25: 56.0 ETH (40.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5776 2025-01-30: 50.0 ETH (38.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7806 2024-11-14: 37.0 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-26: 0.25 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2019-06-16: 0.75 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-15: 6.50 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-02: 88.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.