CryptoPunk #6886 valuation (beta)
Male, Silver Chain, Earring, Headband, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.4 ETH (about $88,223). 1σ range 32.7 to 40.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 45.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 67.7 ETH, 5.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 40.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 45.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1607 2026-09-17: 33.5 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4523 2026-08-07: 58.0 ETH (54.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4256 2026-07-21: 33.4 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1607 2026-07-04: 34.6 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1812 2026-05-14: 34.5 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9404 2026-05-04: 29.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-02: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-07: 0.55 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-16: 0.70 ETH (sale)
- 2020-04-24: 0.70 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-13: 1.75 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-08: 45.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.