CryptoPunk #704 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Mustache, Cap Forward.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.6 ETH (about $99,230). 1σ range 36.8 to 51.7 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 61.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.8 to 51.7 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 61.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1118 2026-05-08: 61.0 ETH (59.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8389 2026-02-23: 28.9 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8389 2026-02-19: 28.9 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1769 2026-02-06: 30.6 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1769 2026-02-04: 27.8 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1769 2026-02-03: 25.7 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5579 2026-10-30: 38.0 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-01-25: 90.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-04: 80.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-03-09: 79.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-22: 80.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-03-10: 58.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-11-15: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-24: 46.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-04-08: 49.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-25: 56.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-11-04: 37.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.