CryptoPunk #7440 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Shadow Beard, Knitted Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.6 ETH (about $92,297). 1σ range 35.3 to 46.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 53.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.3 to 46.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 53.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8781 2025-09-16: 50.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6438 2026-08-12: 38.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2026-08-03: 34.9 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4715 2026-07-21: 39.0 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2648 2026-05-25: 35.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4715 2026-05-12: 33.1 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4715 2026-05-01: 31.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3355 2026-02-02: 38.7 ETH (41.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-08-22: 0.23 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-08-29: 0.95 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-28: 20.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-08-19: 27.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-21: 33.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-15: 46.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-05-12: 39.5 ETH (sale)
- 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.