CryptoPunk #7633 valuation (beta)
Male, Cap, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.2 ETH (about $68,553). 1σ range 27.6 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 25.3 to 35.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 114 ETH, 15.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.6 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 25.3 to 35.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-10-09: 33.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-10-08: 31.7 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-09-22: 33.3 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4241 2026-09-22: 36.8 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-09-21: 31.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5034 2026-09-19: 46.5 ETH (47.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-26: 2.90 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-18: 14.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-18: 21.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-19: 21.6 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-25: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-04: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-28: 22.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-01: 100.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.