CryptoPunk #8153 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Stringy Hair, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.3 ETH (about $66,698). 1σ range 26.7 to 32.2 ETH, 2σ range 24.3 to 35.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 50.0 ETH, 5.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.7 to 32.2 ETH, 2σ range 24.3 to 35.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Goat -7%, Stringy Hair -9%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4059 2026-09-23: 34.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9984 2026-09-21: 31.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4059 2026-08-05: 30.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4059 2026-07-26: 33.5 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4059 2026-07-14: 30.1 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9984 2026-04-27: 30.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5674 2026-01-02: 27.3 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1054 2025-11-05: 35.3 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-14: 9.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 49.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-08: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-24: 115 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-05: 115 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-17: 127 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.