CryptoPunk #8286 valuation (beta)
Female, Headband, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 44.9 ETH (about $102,143). 1σ range 36.9 to 54.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 66.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 44.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.9 to 54.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 66.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Headband -4%, 3D Glasses +46%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8505 2026-09-22: 32.3 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8450 2026-09-07: 29.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2403 2026-08-27: 31.8 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8505 2026-08-07: 30.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2403 2026-08-06: 31.0 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2403 2026-07-28: 30.5 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6603 2026-07-12: 32.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4704 2026-07-11: 33.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-23: 115 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-23: 107 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.