CryptoPunk #8302 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Earring, Cap Forward, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.0 ETH (about $79,473). 1σ range 31.7 to 38.5 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 42.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 41.0 ETH, 1.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 38.5 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 42.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Handlebars -6%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8992 2026-07-19: 30.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #768 2026-04-17: 34.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8992 2025-10-18: 42.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8992 2025-10-01: 47.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7998 2026-09-22: 42.5 ETH (39.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-08: 0.25 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-10-09: 4.00 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-12-22: 5.99 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-14: 32.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-15: 38.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-06-27: 52.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.