CryptoPunk #8326 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Earring, Mohawk Thin, Green Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 127 ETH, 23.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6379 2026-05-16: 31.8 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6674 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6379 2026-01-09: 27.7 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3961 2025-08-10: 75.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-10-08: 31.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-09-23: 33.6 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-09-20: 29.7 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-08: 0.35 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-04: 0.57 ETH (sale)
- 2020-07-04: 0.95 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-22: 15.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-16: 86.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-01: 124 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-14: 103 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-15: 106 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.