CryptoPunk #8381 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Bandana.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $71,623). 1σ range 29.0 to 34.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 37.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.0 to 34.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 37.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Muttonchops -9%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8869 2025-10-26: 38.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9225 2025-08-02: 60.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6639 2025-05-26: 49.8 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6639 2025-05-11: 46.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-09-15: 88.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-09: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-13: 73.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-28: 79.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-24: 33.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-06-20: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-15: 38.9 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-03: 38.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-13: 48.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-14: 49.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.