CryptoPunk #8393 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Crazy Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.6 ETH (about $99,230). 1σ range 36.8 to 51.7 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 61.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.8 to 51.7 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 61.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8353 2026-08-08: 40.5 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8353 2026-06-27: 42.0 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4790 2026-03-13: 36.9 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4790 2026-03-04: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5655 2026-02-06: 40.0 ETH (40.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7917 2026-01-03: 31.1 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4135 2025-09-03: 45.0 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-04: 27.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 58.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 65.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-05: 85.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-29: 169 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-19: 93.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-29: 96.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.