CryptoPunk #8407 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Fedora, Cigarette, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 46.7 ETH (about $113,247). 1σ range 38.1 to 57.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 70.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 46.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.1 to 57.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 70.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9558 2026-07-21: 57.0 ETH (54.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4689 2026-06-27: 38.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6530 2026-04-09: 37.3 ETH (40.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4689 2025-12-25: 27.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7839 2025-11-09: 36.3 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8530 2025-10-31: 54.0 ETH (44.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7839 2025-10-18: 45.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8682 2025-09-28: 45.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-04: 1.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 120 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-31: 113 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-03: 101 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-02-07: 115 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-12: 100 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-10-27: 100 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.