CryptoPunk #8409 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Shaved Head, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.5 ETH (about $64,807). 1σ range 25.7 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 23.2 to 35.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.7 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 23.2 to 35.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Muttonchops -9%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7377 2026-09-05: 31.5 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7377 2026-02-05: 29.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7377 2026-01-16: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6953 2026-01-03: 29.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7377 2025-12-09: 29.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7377 2025-12-08: 29.8 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8671 2025-11-26: 37.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-26: 2.90 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-20: 13.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 14.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 35.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-03: 65.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2023-11-06: 49.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-07: 38.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-06: 19.4 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-11-28: 37.2 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.