CryptoPunk #8438 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Mohawk Dark, Cigarette, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.0 ETH (about $68,279). 1σ range 28.4 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2127 2026-01-15: 29.4 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4898 2025-08-13: 58.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1900 2025-07-20: 47.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1900 2025-07-18: 38.5 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4950 2025-04-09: 45.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9881 2025-03-23: 42.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4950 2025-03-05: 36.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3512 2025-03-03: 35.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-26: 3.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-23: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 44.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-10: 44.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-14: 42.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.