CryptoPunk #8445 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Normal Beard, Hoodie, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 147 ETH (about $334,999). 1σ range 68.7 to 316 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 678 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 147 ETH (beta), 1σ range 68.7 to 316 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 678 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7213 2026-05-04: 115 ETH (111 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7213 2026-04-23: 101 ETH (104 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-28: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-25: 31.4 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.1 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5133 2026-09-22: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-28: 60.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-23: 80.9 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-26: 350 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.