CryptoPunk #8469 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Purple Hair, Cigarette, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $86,741). 1σ range 33.8 to 43.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 48.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.8 to 43.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 48.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3041 2026-08-10: 39.0 ETH (36.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-04-22: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-17: 27.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-12: 26.7 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-11: 28.4 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-19: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 71.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.