CryptoPunk #8518 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Stringy Hair, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,841). 1σ range 28.2 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 26.0 to 36.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.2 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 26.0 to 36.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2529 2026-10-02: 36.5 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-09-27: 32.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4011 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-09-22: 35.8 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-07-13: 31.0 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6906 2026-05-13: 34.9 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-11: 4.60 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-10: 64.7 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-16: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-18: 71.5 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2024-11-12: 30.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.