CryptoPunk #8540 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.2 ETH (about $68,705). 1σ range 27.7 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.4 to 36.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.7 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.4 to 36.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3606 2026-07-21: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7820 2025-07-25: 58.5 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9179 2024-11-22: 43.0 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5394 2026-10-30: 35.0 ETH (36.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8159 2026-10-09: 35.9 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-07: 0.89 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-24: 2.22 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 18.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 32.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 34.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-25: 79.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 85.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-03-10: 53.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.