CryptoPunk #8605 valuation (beta)
Female, Blonde Short, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.3 ETH (about $68,966). 1σ range 28.8 to 32.0 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 33.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 77.0 ETH, 17.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.8 to 32.0 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 33.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Blonde Short -3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2222 2024-12-15: 38.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4140 2026-10-24: 31.3 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2994 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3859 2026-10-08: 36.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-10-08: 31.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4140 2026-10-07: 32.2 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-24: 27.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-01: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-08-09: 55.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.