CryptoPunk #8622 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 42.1 ETH (about $95,731). 1σ range 36.1 to 49.1 ETH, 2σ range 31.0 to 57.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 169 ETH, 9.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 42.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.1 to 49.1 ETH, 2σ range 31.0 to 57.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7425 2025-04-26: 85.0 ETH (58.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-10-02: 36.5 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5329 2026-09-30: 38.9 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-09-27: 32.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-01: 28.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-06: 20.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.