CryptoPunk #8648 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Mohawk Thin, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.8 ETH (about $76,820). 1σ range 31.1 to 36.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.1 to 36.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Mole -7%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5559 2026-09-21: 30.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-17: 29.6 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-05: 28.5 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1012 2026-05-06: 32.6 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-04-22: 28.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1012 2026-03-24: 29.6 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-21: 28.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1012 2026-03-15: 29.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-30: 22.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-19: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-10: 81.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-02-19: 57.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-04-29: 38.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-13: 36.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-18: 40.8 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-08: 38.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-01-14: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-18: 39.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.