CryptoPunk #8761 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Cap, Cigarette, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,425). 1σ range 32.0 to 39.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 43.2 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.0 to 39.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 43.2 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard Dark -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3843 2025-06-26: 48.4 ETH (37.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3843 2025-06-12: 50.4 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3843 2025-03-13: 41.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3843 2025-01-17: 45.5 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-08-31: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-07-03: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4371 2026-05-20: 34.8 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-08: 19.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-17: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-09-06: 53.4 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.